Allianz Research Projects Global Net Zero Delayed to 2064 as Most Economies Fall Behind Climate Pledges
Global carbon neutrality will not arrive until 2064 under current trends, 14 years past the 2050 benchmark, according to Allianz Research. The projection comes from the second Allianz Green Transition Tracker 2026, published ahead of the COP31 climate conference in Antalya, finding that most economies are progressing toward net-zero emissions too slowly to meet their climate commitments.
The study noted one bright spot in the power sector: renewables supplied 33.5% of global electricity in 2025, exceeding coal's 33.2% share and overtaking coal as the largest power source for the first time in over a century, according to Allianz Research.
That milestone, however, has not been enough to close the gap between national pledges and actual decarbonization trajectories.
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